Sunday NFL Pick

The Buffalo Bills will be hosting their archrival, the Miami Dolphins, in today’s AFC Wild Card game. Buffalo is laying a lot of chalk, 13.5 points, but they should cover the number. The Bills have won 7 straight, are 7-1 in their last 8 in Orchard Park, and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against the Dolphins. The temperature at kickoff will be 28oF and Miami does not fare well in cold weather. Since 2008, the Fins are just 7-14 when the mercury dips below 34oF and they are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 playoff games. Miami is expected to start third string QB Skyler Thompson, who has thrown for just 534 yards with 3 interceptions, and the Bills stellar defense will be licking their chops. On the flip side, QB Josh Allen has thrown for 4,283 yards with 35 TDs and should have no problem threading the needle against a Dolphins defense that ranks 27th against the pass.
TODAY’S PICK: BUFFALO BILLS -13½