Category: NCAA-B

There have been a lot of upsets so far during this NCAA tournament but I don’t see that happening today when the #1 seed Villanova Wildcats take on the #5 seed West Virginia Mountaineers. Villanova has not lost at a neutral site, going 11-0, where they are averaging 84.3 points per game and allowing an average of 64.3. The Mountaineers are 7-2 at a neutral site, where they are averaging 78.7 points per game and allowing an average of 70.9. In their first two games of the tournament, the Wildcats were dominant, blowing out Alabama, 81-58, and Radford, 87-61. Lay the 5 and take Villanova.
TONIGHT’S PICK: VILLANOVA WILDCATS -5

The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners have been a force on their home court and that is where they will be tonight when they face the Sam Houston State Bearkats. At the Convocation Center, the Roadrunners are 12-3, where they are averaging 74.0 points per game and allowing an average of 67.4. Texas-San Antonio has covered their last 6 home games and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Bearkats have not been effective on the road. They are 4-9, where they are averaging 70.3 points per game, allowing an average of 74.6, and are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The line is currently Roadrunners -4, a line they should cover, but why sweat the points? Consider Texas-San Antonio on the money line.
TONIGHT’S PICK: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO ROADRUNNERS M/L

The San Francisco Dons will be laying 1 point tonight when they host the Utah Valley Wolverines. The Dons are 13-6 at home, where they are averaging 69.3 points per game, and allowing an average of 66.7. The Wolverines are 6-8 on the road, where they are averaging 72.8 points per game, and allowing an average of 71.5. The numbers indicate a close game, with a slight edge in favor of the Dons.
TONIGHT’S PICK: SAN FRANCISCO DONS M/L

The Buffalo Bulls not only beat 4th seeded Arizona on Thursday, they blew them out, winning 89-68, and they will face another powerhouse today, the Kentucky Wildcats. The win on Thursday was no fluke. This Bulls team can play with anybody. In Thursday’s win, they hit 15 of 30 3-pointers and shot 54.8% overall. We all know Kentucky’s track record and this won’t be an easy one for Buffalo. The Wildcats are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. On the flip side, the Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after a straight up win. Neutral court numbers are similar. Buffalo is 5-2 and 6-1 ATS, averaging 82.1 points per game, and allowing an average of 75.3. Kentucky is also 5-2 and 6-1 ATS, averaging 76.0 points per game, and allowing an average of 68.7. If the Bulls’ Wes Clark is on, like he was on Thursday scoring 25 points, don’t be surprised if Buffalo does it again.
TODAY’S PICK: BUFFALO BULLS +6

The Nevada Wolf Pack will be getting 1.5 points today when they face the Texas Longhorns at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville. Nevada will try to bounce back from last Friday’s humiliating 90-73 loss to San Diego State and past history says they will. The Pack are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS loss. The Longhorns have not been covering in NCAA Tournament games. They are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 and against the Mountain West, they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4. Neutral site numbers have Nevada averaging 76.4 points per game and allowing an average of 75.6 and Texas averages 68.8 points per game, allowing 66.0. This should be a close game but if the Martin twins are on their mark, Nevada should prevail.
TODAY’S PICK: NEVADA WOLF PACK +1.5

The Austin Peay Governors are tough to beat on their home court and that is where they will be tonight when they face the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks. The Governors are 12-4 at the Winfield Dunn Center, where they are averaging 74.8 points per game and allowing an average of 68.8. On the flip side, the Warhawks have been awful on the road, with a record of 3-10. They are averaging a mere 63.8 points per game and allowing an average of 72.6 on the road. The line in this one has been up and down so consider siding with Peay on the money line.
TONIGHT’S PICK: AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS M/L

The IPFW Mastodons will play an early one today at home against the Central Michigan Chippewas. At the Allen County War Memorial Coliseum, the Mastodons have been tough on opponents, with a record of 13-2, where they average 85.3 points per game and hold teams to an average of 77.4. The Chips come into this game with a road record of 4-8, where they are averaging 78.4 points per game, and holding teams to an average of 81.3. IPFW are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against the Mid American Conference. Lay the 5 and take the home team in this one.
TODAY’S PICK: IPFW MASTODONS -5