Category: NCAA-B

The 9-7 UC Davis Aggies will host the 5-9 Cal Poly SLO Mustangs tonight at The Pavilion. The Aggies are a perfect 4-0 at home, where they are averaging 78 points per game and allowing just 58. On the flip side, the Mustangs are 1-7 on the road, averaging 62.6 points per game and allowing 77.5. The Aggies have the advantage in points per game, field goal percentage, defense, rebounding and bench. The Mustangs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings with the Aggies and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at the Pavilion. The Aggies should cover the 5.5.

Tonight’s pick:

UC Davis Aggies -5.5

The Nevada Wolf Pack are a perfect 6-0 at home and will look to make it 7 when they play host to the San Diego Aztecs in a late one tonight at Lawlor Events Center. Nevada averages 81.0 points per game at home and surrenders an average of 64.8. The Aztecs are 0-3 on the road, averaging just 59.7 points and allowing an average of 70.0. The Pack lost to Fresno State on Saturday but they don’t dwell on losses, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11, following a straight up defeat. The Aztecs have beaten the Pack in the last 7 contests but I see that trend ending tonight. I’ll take the Pack and the money line in this one.

Tonight’s pick:

Nevada Wolf Pack M/L

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will have their work cut out for them tonight when they take their 0-5 road record to San Marcos, Texas to take on the Texas State Bobcats. The Bobcats are 5-1 at home on the season, averaging 70 points per game on their home court and allowing an average of 64. The Chanticleers are averaging 66.6 points per game on the road and allowing an average of 88.8. Texas State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against the Sun Belt, and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 overall. I’ll take the Bobcats in this one on the money line.

Tonight’s pick:

Texas State Bobcats M/L

I like the Evansville Purple Aces chances for a victory today at home over the Northern Iowa Panthers. The Purple Aces are ranked 100th in offensive field goal percentage shooting and are 8-0 at home, averaging 75.8 points per game and allowing 60. The Panthers come into this game ranked 324th in offensive field goal percentage shooting and are 0-3 on the road, averaging 52.3 points per game and holding teams to 76.7. The Purple Aces have the edge in every category except free throws and turn overs.

Today’s pick:

Evansville Purple Aces -2

The Western Illinois Leathernecks will take their 1-5 road record to Fort Wayne tonight to face the IPFW Mastodons. The Mastodons are a perfect 7-0 at home, averaging 85.8 points per game in Fort Wayne and allowing an average of 66.4. On the road, the Leathernecks are averaging 61.0 points per game and allowing 72.3. The Mastodons are ranked 30th in offensive field goal percentage as opposed to the Leathernecks who are ranked 300th. The Leathernecks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Mastodons. If IPFW wants to cover the 14 points, they will.

Tonight’s pick:

IPFW Mastodons -14

The Richmond Spiders should be able to knock off the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles in an early one today, even though it is being played in Tulsa. The Spiders have the edge in every category except for free throws and bench, and on the road they’re averaging 71.5 and allowing 64.0 points per game. At home, the Golden Eagles are averaging 64.0 and holding teams to 63.5 points per game. The Spiders are ranked 131st in offensive field goal percentage as opposed to the Golden Eagles who are ranked 288th. I’ll take the road favorite here and lay the 2.

Today’s pick:

Richmond Spiders -2

Two Virginia teams square off tonight when the Richmond Spiders travel to Harrisonburg, VA to take on the James Madison Dukes. The Dukes are 1-9 on the season and are 0-3 on their home court. James Madison is averaging 65.3 points per game at home and are surrendering an average of 81. The Spiders are 5-5 on the season and away from home they are averaging 68 points per game and allowing 73. Richmond has the edge in points per game, field goal percentage, defense and turnovers.

Today’s pick:

Richmond Spiders -4.5